Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

When will the Government shutdown end?

November 4-7

<1%

November 8-11

11%

November 12-15

32%

November 16+

56%

November 4-7

<1%

November 8-11

11%

November 12-15

32%

November 16+

56%

$14m Vol.

Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

71%

No change

27%

25+ bps increase

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

71%

No change

27%

25+ bps increase

$46m Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

70%

Republican Party

31%

Democratic Party

70%

Republican Party

31%

$282k Vol.

Maduro out by...?

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

16%

March 31, 2026

36%

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

16%

March 31, 2026

36%

$8m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

24%

chance

$932k Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Kansas City

14%

Buffalo

13%

Philadelphia

11%

Detroit

Los Angeles R

Kansas City

14%

Buffalo

13%

Philadelphia

11%

Detroit

Los Angeles R

$511m Vol.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...? card icon

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?

chance

$117k Vol.

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

30%

chance

$79k Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

80%

chance

$632k Vol.

Chile Presidential Election

José Antonio Kast

70%

Jeannette Jara

15%

Johannes Kaiser

12%

Evelyn Matthei

Franco Parisi

José Antonio Kast

70%

Jeannette Jara

15%

Johannes Kaiser

12%

Evelyn Matthei

Franco Parisi

$43m Vol.

Will the Government shutdown end by...?

November 7

<1%

November 15

42%

November 30

92%

December 31

98%

January 31

99%

November 7

<1%

November 15

42%

November 30

92%

December 31

98%

January 31

99%

$4m Vol.

Gemini 3.0 released by...?

November 15

November 22

61%

November 30

81%

December 31

98%

November 15

November 22

61%

November 30

81%

December 31

98%

$8m Vol.

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

24%

chance

$61k Vol.

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

chance

$2m Vol.

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

57%

chance

$62k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

chance

$26m Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?

November 14

15%

November 30

65%

December 31

87%

November 14

15%

November 30

65%

December 31

87%

$1m Vol.

Cougars

100%

Knights

$4m Vol.

•CFB• 1:00 AM

Largest Company end of 2025?

NVIDIA

89%

Apple

Alphabet

Microsoft

Tesla

<1%

NVIDIA

89%

Apple

Alphabet

Microsoft

Tesla

<1%

$14m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 130,000

22%

↑ 120,000

37%

↓ 100,000

77%

↓ 90,000

44%

↓ 80,000

19%

↑ 130,000

22%

↑ 120,000

37%

↓ 100,000

77%

↓ 90,000

44%

↓ 80,000

19%

$49m Vol.

What will happen before GTA VI?

GPT-6 released

70%

New Playboi Carti Album

67%

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire

61%

New Rihanna Album

55%

Trump out as President

51%

GPT-6 released

70%

New Playboi Carti Album

67%

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire

61%

New Rihanna Album

55%

Trump out as President

51%

$9m Vol.

Complex

La Liga Winner

Real Madrid

69%

Barcelona

24%

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

Celta Vigo

<1%

Real Madrid

69%

Barcelona

24%

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

Celta Vigo

<1%

$20m Vol.

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal

65%

Man City

18%

Liverpool

11%

Man United

Chelsea

Arsenal

65%

Man City

18%

Liverpool

11%

Man United

Chelsea

$92m Vol.

F1 Drivers Champion

Lando Norris

61%

Oscar Piastri

26%

Max Verstappen

11%

George Russell

<1%

Lando Norris

61%

Oscar Piastri

26%

Max Verstappen

11%

George Russell

<1%

$145m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

60%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Marjorie Taylor Greene

J.D. Vance

60%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$79m Vol.

What price will Ethereum hit in November?

↑ 4,400

15%

↑ 4,200

22%

↑ 4,000

37%

↓ 3,000

44%

↓ 2,800

26%

↑ 4,400

15%

↑ 4,200

22%

↑ 4,000

37%

↓ 3,000

44%

↓ 2,800

26%

$7m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

↑ 120,000

10%

↑ 115,000

26%

↓ 95,000

40%

↓ 90,000

21%

↓ 85,000

12%

↑ 120,000

10%

↑ 115,000

26%

↓ 95,000

40%

↓ 90,000

21%

↓ 85,000

12%

$13m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

39%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Jon Ossoff

Gavin Newsom

39%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Jon Ossoff

$279m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

30%

Gavin Newsom

21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

JD Vance

30%

Gavin Newsom

21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

$113m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets November 4 - November 11, 2025?

100-119

10%

120-139

22%

140-159

29%

160-179

20%

180-199

12%

100-119

10%

120-139

22%

140-159

29%

160-179

20%

180-199

12%

$5m Vol.

UEFA Champions League Winner

Bayern Munich

17%

Arsenal

16%

PSG

12%

Real Madrid

10%

Man City

10%

Bayern Munich

17%

Arsenal

16%

PSG

12%

Real Madrid

10%

Man City

10%

$68m Vol.

Wildcats

Trojans

100%

$2m Vol.

•CFB• 2:00 AM

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